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» RAILforum » Passenger Trains » Amtrak » Is the End of the Line Near for Amtrak? (Article)

   
Author Topic: Is the End of the Line Near for Amtrak? (Article)
StonewallJones
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By Robert W. Poole, Jr. Director of Transportation Studies, Reason Foundation
Originally Published in the Orlando Sentinel


With Amtrak bleeding money and threatening to shut down train service, it's time to bite the bullet and admit the truth: Congress's 30-year experiment with nationalized rail service has failed. Since Amtrak's creation in 1970, more than $25 billion in federal tax dollars have gone to subsidize its operations. And those amounts have been increasing over time, with $4.4 billion from 1998 through 2001. Both the Amtrak Reform Council and the Department of Transportation's Inspector General have concluded that Amtrak is not financially sustainable.

Amtrak defenders claim that it's unfair to focus so much attention on Amtrak subsidies. Look at highways and air travel, they say: they get federal dollars, too.

So, let's look carefully. In 2001, highways received $33.5 billion in federal funds. But every dime of that came from federal gasoline taxes paid by drivers who use the highways. This is not a subsidy; it's simply a user tax, paid by highway users to build and maintain the highways the drive on. Likewise, aviation received $12.6 billion in federal funding in 2001. Most of that came from user taxes paid by passengers and private pilots, and was used to pay for air traffic control and airport improvements. The several billion of general-fund monies for aviation went to pay for safety regulation by the FAA; that's how we pay for all the federal safety regulatory agencies.

It is only Amtrak that receives actual federal subsidies -- monies taken from general taxpayers for the direct benefit of users of the rail mode of travel. People who fly or drive receive no such federal subsidy.

How much has $25 billion in taxpayer subsidy gotten Amtrak in terms of market share? Ten percent? Five percent? Guess again. Every day airlines carry about 1.8 million inter-city passengers, while interstate buses handle 1 million. Amtrak's long-distance inter-city trains carry just 20,000. That's seven-tenths of one percent of the inter-city market.

To be sure, Amtrak carries lots of other passengers in the Northeast Corridor and on short hauls like Los Angeles to San Diego. But that's not where it's bleeding money. Amtrak's major problem is the long-distance trains. According to the General Accounting Office, not a single Amtrak route outside the Northeast Corridor covers its costs from the farebox. The Auto Train from Virginia to Sanford loses $118 per passenger. The Sunset Limited, from Los Angeles to Orlando, loses a whopping $284 per passenger; that train alone costs three times as much to operate as it brings in via fares.

Of 40 Amtrak routes, 28 cost more than twice as much as their revenues to operate.

The Amtrak Reform Act of 1997 released Amtrak from the previous mandate to maintain a nationwide route system. But the agency has ignored that new freedom, continuing to pour subsidies into money-losing long-distance routes. And since Amtrak has failed to meet the self-sufficiency requirement of that act, Congress should take the logical next step of putting Amtrak into bankruptcy. That's the only way to force the radical restructuring of passenger rail service needed in 21st-century America.

Bankruptcy means that Amtrak as a corporate entity would be liquidated. In other words, its assets would be sold off to satisfy its creditors, to the extent possible, freeing those assets to be used more productively by others. The GAO estimates that its crown jewel, the Northeast Corridor, is worth $4.3 billion; it also owns some valuable stations, locomotives, cars, and maintenance facilities. CEO David Gunn says Amtrak has $3.7 billion in debt to lenders and vendors on its balance sheet. That excludes any payback to U.S. taxpayers on the $25 billion in subsidies -- but that money is best thought of as gone forever.

Back in 1997 Amtrak told the GAO that the costs of liquidation could be as much as $10 billion to $16 billion. But the GAO concluded that most of what Amtrak included in those totals was not liquidation costs, and that those who took over the Northeast Corridor and commuter services would assume most ongoing costs. Moreover, GAO concluded that the government (i.e., the taxpayers) would not be liable for "labor protection" provisions, which were removed by the 1997 Reform Act.

If Amtrak were actually liquidated via formal bankruptcy, what would happen to passenger rail service in the United States? Most of it would be maintained, but under a variety of new providers.

First of all, the Northeast Corridor could easily be viable, without the encumbrances of Amtrak's costly labor agreements and the burdens of the Railway Labor Act, Railroad Retirement Act, and other special regulations that don't apply to most other businesses. With post-Amtrak workers handled under Social Security and other mainstream laws, there would be lively bidding to purchase and operate Northeast Corridor service.

Amtrak does not operate the three largest commuter rail services: the Long Island Railroad, Metro-North Railroad, and Chicago's Metra, which would be unaffected by the change. Amtrak operates commuter rail service, under contract to state or municipal agencies, in eight metro areas, including Boston, San Diego, and Seattle. Elsewhere, such services are typically outsourced to private operators, which would be happy to bid for the former Amtrak services. A number of British train operating companies, such as Virgin Rail and Stagecoach, are also likely candidates to bid for commuter-rail contracts. So there is no danger of loss of any of those services.

The same is true of regional services like the Portland/Seattle/Vancouver and Detroit/Chicago/Milwaukee corridors.

That leaves long-distance services, Amtrak's current money pit. Even with deregulated post-Amtrak labor conditions, there is no way that basic long-distance train service (like the Sunset Limited) can be self-supporting. But there is a possible niche market for what are called "cruise trains." Current examples include the Rocky Mountaineer between Vancouver and Banff and the American Orient Express and Montana Daylight in the American West.

Finally, what about high-speed rail? While the potential of American bullet trains has been greatly exaggerated, there may well be short/medium-haul markets where high-speed rail could be viable. But its best chance of success will come if it is pursued by entrepreneurial companies not burdened with Amtrak's bureaucratic corporate culture and costly labor regulations.

For high-speed rail, the liquidation of Amtrak can only be a big plus.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Any comments?


Posts: 62 | From: North Carolina | Registered: Jun 2001  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
vline
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Hello, yes I have a comment to make. In my state of Victoria, Australia, our privatised rural & some suburban railways, privatised by a previous Conservative State Government. With a huge subsidy, given to National Express, some English company running railways in England. Well National Express pulled the plug here & has given our rural & suburban railways back to the State Government again. Privatised railways don't & never will cover their costs. Mike. http://www.vline.vic.gov.au/
Posts: 60 | From: Ballan, Victoria, Australia | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
cajon
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Reason? foundation. Their arguements were blown out of the water below in your previous post 7 below this one. What's the point of repeating this again?
Posts: 249 | From: Downey CA USA | Registered: Jul 2000  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
StonewallJones
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Well Cajon had you looked a little further down the page you would have seen my other post topic "Sorry about the double post"

Gee, I wonder what thats in refernce too..


Posts: 62 | From: North Carolina | Registered: Jun 2001  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
cajon
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Too bad thw webmaster couldn't have deleted 2nd post as your apology is is way behind either post now.
Posts: 249 | From: Downey CA USA | Registered: Jul 2000  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
StonewallJones
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ya to bad huh..
Posts: 62 | From: North Carolina | Registered: Jun 2001  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
irishchieftain
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Vline: National Express operates intercity buses in England and has never, to my knowledge, operated any trains there. I'm surprised to learn that they (assuming the same company) went into unfamiliar territory in terms of operations in Victoria...
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TALKrr
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The REASON Foundation ?

Maybe we should all start our OWN foundation and call it the R-L-T (Road Less Traveled) Foundation !

Who is this Poole fellow anyway ? Is anybody familiar with him ? Please fill me in , if so.

Also, I would like a mailing address or an e-mail address said foundation. I would like to take the opportunity to express a few thoughts to Poole directly.

Needless to say, I disagree with EVERYTHING Poole has stated. Hopefully, an address can be posted on this forum so that other passenger-rail advocates like you and I can let Poole know we all heartily disagree with his thoughts.

Evidently this guy knows NOTHING about trains such as the AEO. The trains receives NO passengers enroute to its destination. Only first-class (and VERY pricy) accomodations are available. I was astounded at the cost for a single , one-way trip----one of the shorter ones at that !

Characters like this have probably NEVER ridden a long-distance Amtrak train in recent history. They act as if these trains NEVER stop, but simply criss-cross the country "at will."

Another thing that really "riles" me about characters like this is that they never "address" any other form of government financial support. NASA is a perfect example. Think of the price tag related to NASA's 7 trips back and forth to the moon !! The next target, Mars ! Imagine what that price tag will be ?

I believe in fighting fire with fire. If individuals like Poole feel "compelled" to express their anti-Amtrak rhetoric (as if its a patriotic duty ) , then we who disagree need to express OUR views----just as vocally and with just as much "passion."

How does one go about getting a job at a FOUNDATION , anyhow. Sounds like a huge "wind-fall" to me.

Done "venting" for now.


Posts: 187 | From: Pittsburgh , PA | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
20th Century
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TALKrr: My sentiments also. In my e-mail to Stonewall I wrote that Poole might as well put a Marie Antoinette wig on his head and say "Let them cake".
Posts: 498 | From: New Hope, PA, USA | Registered: Jan 2003  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
   

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