posted
Certainly an historic result, no matter what one may think of it.
Gilbert B Norman Member # 1541
posted
Mr. Helfner, while newssources such as The Times, are very quick to point out that Iowa's demographics are not indicative of the US as a whole (and owing to the weather, only "the faithful" showed up), the demographics are more representative of where Trump will win than, again, "the US as a whole".
But for better or worse, I'm moving to Kubler-Ross Phase 5, that in a year to the day from now, Trump will be POTUS47 (there is no law saying a convicted felon, if such is to be the case, can hold public office) and that the electoral vote plurality will be anywhere between "decisive" and "landslide".
To continue, for whatever it might be worth, i.e. not much beyond bragging, Trump may even win the popular vote.
And finally, at least one assurance with a Trump victory, January 6 will only be a day in which a "ritual" will be performed, as Joe will have graciously conceded. And even as he sits on the "stand" fourteen days later wondering if we will even have a democratic republic four years from then, he will be there and with an Acela 2 (possibly locomotive hauled) awaiting him at Union Station.
Gilbert B Norman Member # 1541
posted
So, it's now down to a "two horse match race" (De Santis has now dropped out; uh whoops, "suspended"); on to the Granite State.
irishchieftain Member # 1473
posted
Another win for DJT, even with the left wing crossing over to support Haley in New Hampshire’s open primaries.
Gilbert B Norman Member # 1541
posted
Mr. Helfner, look for Nikki to "suspend" after South Carolina. After all, reports are that she remains "well-funded" and whatever is left can be used for another campaign for any office (could she already be thinking '28?).
Oh, and BTW, she could also pocket the remainder - so long as she pays applicable income taxes on it.
Why can't we just cut all this primary nonsense out, with each state acclaiming Republican delegates for Trump, making the July Milwaukee into the Coronation that it clearly will become.
Absent the unlikely event that Joe will withdraw, let's just make the Democratic one into a Coronation as well.
Both parties will still get what they want - free airtime for the biggest campaign commercial of them all.
Finally, there is a Journal Editorial appearing in print this past Saturday suggesting "it all ain't over for Joe". Only problem with that is every public opinion organization presently holds Trump beating Biden with even "decisive" margins:
Fair Use:
quote:The polls show Americans want to move on from President Biden, and Republicans have a choice to make about the alternative to offer voters in November. Will it be the prospect of a second Donald Trump term, with its inevitable turmoil and polarization, or will the GOP look forward to forge a new conservative governing coalition?
That’s the essence of the choice facing Republicans as New Hampshire holds its primary on Tuesday. The Trump campaign, the press and the Biden Democrats say the race is over. Mr. Biden wants Mr. Trump as the nominee because he believes Mr. Trump is the easiest to beat. But before the die is cast, it’s worth thinking about the risks GOP voters would be taking, both in November and in a second term if by some chance Mr. Trump defeated Mr. Biden.
irishchieftain Member # 1473
posted
Getting back to Haley: She was not pleased by her loss to “None of these candidates” and accused Trump of somehow “rigging” the primary where he was not a candidate.
The press is continuing to voice their displeasure with Biden too, and not just having to do with Israel/Gaza.
Gilbert B Norman Member # 1541
posted
Mr. Helfner, Nikki will "suspend" her campaign after Trump takes her out in South Carolina.
After Special Counsel Robert K. Hur investigating Joe's classified documents matter concluded he was not going to recommend prosecution of "a dottering old man", it's time to enter Kubler-Ross Phase 5 and accept that Trump will again be POTUS come next January, regardless of whomever the Democrats might come up with. Any criminal charges against Trump will be dropped, and even a conviction, will be pardoned.
The ironic thing is that if any of us around here who were "in" and had security clearances, decided we wanted a souvenir, they'd maybe let us out of Leavenworth about now.
Gilbert B Norman Member # 1541
posted
OK, maybe after spending some ten days on a road trip to Florida and in or through "Trump Country", including a stop in Cadiz KY for gas yesterday. Here was the female cashier, perfectly courteous, but wearing a MAGA T-shirt. I'm twisted and ask not why Marathon Oil allows a representative (as distinct from an employee) to wear such attire.
But considering that Nikki is a lost cause, and the Democrats either cannot, or will not, come up with someone to replace Joe, I think the General Election this November will be anywhere between "Decisive " and a "Landslide" for Trump.
Trump will not have been convicted of anything and the charges will be withdrawn as soon as he again takes office.
That's where we are going; as I see it at this time.
irishchieftain Member # 1473
posted
Haley says she’s still in until Super Tuesday. Seems purposeless.
As for Trump, there is nothing to be convicted of. In that respect, the prosecutors are trying to turn the country into Soviet Russia with literal show trials, at risk of violating the Constitutional clauses forbidding attainder and ex post facto to all levels of government.
Gilbert B Norman Member # 1541
posted
Considering The Supremes, in which three of 'em owe "homage" to Trump (and, well, a little help from Mitch re the Scalia vacancy), the Insurrection matter might come to trial in time for his supporters to yell "political persecution" and hand him his "decisive to landslide" victory.
Jan 21, all Federal charges will "vanish". Regarding the Georgia charges, Fani has shot herself in the foot with her selection of boyfriends.
So far as the Civil NY matter goes, both The Times and Journal have reported upon a possible sale of Truth Social to a Special Purpose Acquisition Company - SPAC - that will net Trump enough to meet whatever surety bond he must post while the appeal matter works its way through the State judiciary.
All told, for better or worse, it's time for Kubler-Ross Phase 5 regarding a Trump Second Term.
Gilbert B Norman Member # 1541
posted
Another thought regarding The Supremes, even if a bit off-topic.
Why RBG chose not to step down while Obama was still in office, rather than "rolling the dice" as she did that Hillary was going to be POTUS45, simply escapes me.
Amongst the gals, save my Evangelical Sister, I know, SMWD status notwithstanding, most are "Lib" and hold RBG "sullied" herself when she chose to hang on. Of course, she should have realized that Mitch was going to pull his "Garland/Gorsuch stunt" and stepped down well in advance of Obama leaving office.
Closing back on our topic, this is really analogous to Joe seeking a second term.
George Harris Member # 2077
posted
Maybe it is my geographic location, North Mississippi, West Tennessee, and the last couple weeks in Wyoming, but I know few anti-Trump people, male or female. Most are also of the anybody but Biden mindset, as well. Even the few that like some of Biden's policies, almost all feel that he is already past his "sell by" date.
irishchieftain Member # 1473
posted
Well, Haley did win DC.
Sky News spun that as the first time any woman won in a Republican primary. Trump, for his part, said that she was thus crowned “queen of the swamp”.
irishchieftain Member # 1473
posted
Prior to Super Tuesday, Trump wins North Dakota easily.
Gilbert B Norman Member # 1541
posted
quote:Originally posted by George Harris: Maybe it is my geographic location, North Mississippi, West Tennessee, and the last couple weeks in Wyoming, but I know few anti-Trump people, male or female.
Mr. Harris, I think you need to accept that "it's location, location, location" regarding where you are comfortable being as opposed to where I am comfortable.
Returning Northward on my recent Florida road trip, I visited friends in Atlanta (she thinks Marjorie is "a real cool gal"), Nashville (more "Trumps"), and made a "pit stop" in Cadiz, KY (female Attendant wearing a MAGA T-Shirt) . All solid Trump as is my Evangelical Sister, who I'm now set to see come June. All have had me in a "watch what I say" mode.
I'm now simply Kubler-Ross Phase 5 regarding a second Trump (47) presidency, even if my educator, social worker, not for profit development, performing arts, friends are of the "we must ring doorbells to stop that evil person from getting near the White House".
But Joe, even if he regularly rides his bicycle, is simply past his prime, and Trump, even if his exercise is walking from a golf cart to a tee, simply appears not to be. I continue to be astounded that Joe, a career politician who attained the ultimate prize, wishes to close his political career with a "much more likely than not" defeat.
George Harris Member # 2077
posted
quote:Originally posted by Gilbert B Norman:But Joe, even if he regularly rides his bicycle, is simply past his prime, and Trump, even if his exercise is walking from a golf cart to a tee, simply appears not to be. I continue to be astounded that Joe, a career politician who attained the ultimate prize, wishes to close his political career with a "much more likely than not" defeat. [/QB]
I suspect Joe is much like the pro athlete that should have retired a couple of seasons before he actually did. Simple refusal to accept the reality that he is past his prime.
By the way, the Mississippi primary is this coming Tuesday. It will probably be a fairly low turnout as the outcome is fairly well a done deal. The Republican ballot still has the "final four" on the president race and three on the senate race which might, might have a potential for a change and no opponent to the current representative. The Democrat ballot president is Biden or write in with a couple of "who are you?" for the congressional races.
Gilbert B Norman Member # 1541
posted
quote:Originally posted by George Harris: I suspect Joe is much like the pro athlete that should have retired a couple of seasons before he actually did. Simple refusal to accept the reality that he is past his prime.
Mr. Harris, I can recall, circa '51 on a 16" B&W, watching Joe Louis getting TK'd by Rocky Marciano - a fighter who knew to get out while on top.
So analogous, so sad.
irishchieftain Member # 1473
posted
quote:Originally posted by George Harris:
I suspect Joe is much like the pro athlete that should have retired a couple of seasons before he actually did. Simple refusal to accept the reality that he is past his prime.
Pro athletes actually put in the work. Given Biden’s penchant for plagiarism and outright mendacity, I confess I fail to see the analogy.
George Harris Member # 2077
posted
quote:Originally posted by irishchieftain:
quote:Originally posted by George Harris:
I suspect Joe is much like the pro athlete that should have retired a couple of seasons before he actually did. Simple refusal to accept the reality that he is past his prime.
Pro athletes actually put in the work. Given Biden’s penchant for plagiarism and outright mendacity, I confess I fail to see the analogy.
I think you may have missed my point. Even when he was firing on all cylinders there was very little to nothing that I could find myself in agreement with Biden. Currently I see a person that is not just wrong in most of his concepts, but a man who is so far gone mentally it is doubtful that he has any concepts of any kind other than to do what he is told by his surrounding crowd of incompetents.
irishchieftain Member # 1473
posted
Well, as far as firing on all cylinders, at least that kept him away from real power while he had his faculties mostly intact due to his impropriety; and after his two aneurysms from over 3½ decades ago, his cylinder firing capacity was always in question anyhow.
posted